Muhaimin Iskandar ‘Uber Alles’
INDONESIA’s ndonesia’s largest media outlet, kompas.com, reported that hundreds of thousands of supporters gathered in Malang to support Muhaimin Iskandar, the vice-presidential candidate in the AMIN pair, as reported this morning, October 8, 2023, in the headline “In Front of Hundreds of Thousands of Supporters in Malang, Muhaimin: Many Affordable but Low-Quality Education.”
This news is truly remarkable because Muhaimin’s presence alone, without Anies, in front of the masses and the confessions of the women who came since dawn just to see Gus Imin (a nickname for Muhaimin) defy various surveys and analyses claiming that he had no contribution to the rise in the popularity of the IMIN pair.
In fact, some survey institutions claimed that Anies’s electability had decreased since partnering with Gus Imin.
Several times, I have been confronted with survey results in debates, and I have stated that Gus Imin is not only a symbol of Nahdliyin leadership today, which would contribute at least 10.26% of PKB’s votes, or around 20 million people out of the official registered voters in 2024. He may also have a multiplier effect when combined with Anies. Why?
The first explanation is that Gus Muhaimin is the leader of a solid social group. Social science has consistently studied the concept of social bonds and the stages of societal development for thousands of years, from Ibn Khaldun in the Islamic world to Emile Durkheim in the West.
The familial ties among the PKB’s elite circles, ideological “bonding,” and the political interests that benefit their group create solidarity that sets them apart from others (us/ours versus you/them).
The second explanation is related to the theory and effect of fusion. In nuclear theory, fusion is the process where energy is produced when two different particles meet. The energy generated from the convergence of these particles can result in exponentially increased energy output.
The convergence of two figures with different “ideological” backgrounds like Muhaimin and Anies Baswedan can multiply their strengths both arithmetically and through fusion.
In the “Change” issue, as Muhaimin and the PKB’s elite increasingly embrace the issue of change, the synergy and re-ideologization of their strengths can transform into a total popular force for change. Other factors for fusion can also act as “push-factors,” where the ruling regime creates a front against the issue of change.
Despite high satisfaction levels being reported in surveys, the latest credible survey from UGM (Gadjah Mada University), the alma mater of presidential and vice-presidential candidates, in the report “Employment Issue Top Priority for 47.3% of Students in Upcoming Election, Says UGM Survey” published on umg.ac.id on October 5, 2023, indicates that nearly 50% of surveyed students from 31 Indonesian universities are concerned about job security.
This suggests that job security during Jokowi’s era is quite poor. Additionally, tens of millions of Malay citizens are angry with Jokowi regarding the “expulsion” of the Rempang community.
The people’s resentment toward Jokowi and his supported candidates will make the issue of change even more prominent. Meanwhile, the people’s affection for the AMIN pair continues to grow.
In social sciences, this phenomenon is studied as a massive movement energy in the context of social revolution. With Anies and Muhaimin as figures, this issue cannot be contained any longer.
The failure of social surveys to accurately gauge the Muhaimin Iskandar phenomenon stems from the low quality of survey institutions in Indonesia. Despite repeatedly making incorrect predictions regarding the victories of candidates like Anies in Jakarta, Sudirman Said in Central Java, Sudrajat in West Java, and others, these institutions have not made serious efforts to evaluate their methodology and survey honesty.
As someone who studied survey and mapping sciences at ITB (Geodesy) and conducted quantitative survey methodology during my PhD, I am confident that the phenomenon of Muhaimin can only be explained through a comprehensive understanding of sociology, political science, mass psychology, anthropology, and others.
Through thorough social research, we can see that Muhaimin Iskandar is currently a significant national figure. He is larger than all survey predictions and more. Muhaimin Iskandar Uber Alles.
Conclusion
Muhaimin Iskandar’s success in captivating hundreds of thousands of people in Malang with the issue of change, especially in the field of education, shows that Muhaimin is not an ordinary figure.
This phenomenon demonstrates that Muhaimin is a great leader in our nation who is guiding us toward change!
Various “underestimations” by survey institutions and political figures in Indonesia reveal their failure to recognize the prominence of Muhaimin.
For proponents of change, this is the awaited moment—the total synergy of two change-oriented national figures, Anies Baswedan and Muhaimin Iskandar. Of course, we continue to pray to the Creator.
This synergy is expected to provide a tremendously powerful fusion energy. Perhaps this energy will lead Anies-Muhaimin to victory in a single round.
Muhaimin transcends all expectations. Muhaimin Uber Alles.
* Dr. Syahganda Nainggolan, Sabang Merauke Circle
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